It’s that time of the year again and we’re in Derby day fever as the Epsom Betfred Derby swiftly approaches.
This year looks to be an exciting lineup and plenty of intrigue surrounding the race. As we have seen in previous years, anything can happen and this time around, it seems to be a considerably open field.
Both the current, joint, 3/1 favourites – Delacroix and Ruling Court appear to have particularly early backing, though it could well be the latter that has the best chance, set to go off from stall seven, which, historically, has served as an advantageous draw.
While these two look to be the punter’s favourites at the minute, I think there could well be some each/way value as well.
What Stand Out About The Two Favourites?
For me, aside from the odds, the Aidan O’Brien/Ryan Moore combination have proven to be potent and if they get it right on the day, then Delacroix could be primed to challenge right to the last, despite having a wide draw.
It does appear to lend momentum to Ruling Court who, under Charlie Appelby is in good hands, however, I am slightly concerned and the only thing that would stop me from having a flutter on him is his stamina over 1.5 miles.
Much will obviously depend on the ground as well. At the minute, the forecast is indicating dry conditions and this could have an impact. Delacroix has historically favoured good to soft while Ruling Court has typically shown great ability on good to firm.
It will certainly be an interesting battle between the two, though there may just be one or two candidates that may surprise punters on the day.
Who Could Be One To Watch?
I would definitely not rule out Prince Of Arras. He is the third favourte and at 5/1 I think he has great on-the-nose value, considering his strengths. Trainer Ralph Beckett is very confident about his ability to handle varying conditions and he put in a very notable performance in the Dante Stakes, while he has shown he is very strong in the closing stages.
The only disadvantage for him, I feel is that he goes out from stall 16, however I do think he has the ability to spring a surprise and I’m sure this is why he has longer odds. Though, there is value there.
Lambourn – another in the O’Brien stable could be very good value, with odds of around 12/1 and he goes from stall 10 which has proven to be the most sucessful historically.
As ever, I think this promises to be an intriguing race and I am sure it will not disappoint!